Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7223652e4fecc2fbe8664460ccd98943516a0752159ec415bb41857cf1c88d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fonsecaof Djokovic, Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Fonseca | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.98 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic | 47c | 9,369$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Fonseca | 54c | 6,346$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.74 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Fonseca | 51c | 4,695$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.79 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Djokovic | 48c | 3,966$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Djokovic | 49c | 1,526$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.74 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…dafdbacked Djokovic | 49c | 1,141$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Djokovic | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Djokovic | 50c | 1,077$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.17 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Djokovic | 48c | 1,051$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.61 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Fonseca | 52c | 988.54$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Djokovic | 48c | 949.83$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.92 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 48c | 745$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Djokovic | 54c | 714.62$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.59 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Djokovic | 48c | 621.21$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fonseca | 44c | 599.68$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35a…8706backed Djokovic | 49c | 501.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Fonseca | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Fonseca | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Djokovic | 47c | 481$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Fonseca | 52c | 452.41$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…a2a1backed Djokovic | 20c | 450.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Djokovic | 49c | 344.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Fonseca | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Fonseca | 53c | 271.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Djokovic | 47c | 268.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fonseca | 52c | 259.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…45adbacked Djokovic | 64c | 258.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fonseca | 36c | 251.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Djokovic | 48c | 239.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Djokovic | 48c | 228.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Djokovic | 49c | 217.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Djokovic | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Fonseca | 53c | 160.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Djokovic | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Fonseca | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Djokovic | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Djokovic | 30c | 121.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Fonseca | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Fonseca | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…4c24backed Djokovic | 47c | 108.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Fonseca | 52c | 102.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Djokovic | 49c | 100.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…5a39backed Djokovic | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Djokovic | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Djokovic | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Djokovic | 47c | 87.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fonseca | 52c | 85.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fonseca | 59c | 82.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Djokovic | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Djokovic | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Djokovic | 48c | 78.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Djokovic | 48c | 64.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Djokovic | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Djokovic | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Fonseca | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…8a85backed Djokovic | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Fonseca | 52c | 59.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Djokovic | 49c | 51.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…d8e8backed Fonseca | 52c | 47.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…c802backed Fonseca | 53c | 44.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Fonseca | 53c | 43.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Djokovic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…b81dbacked Djokovic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Fonseca | 53c | 39.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Djokovic | 48c | 36.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Djokovic | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Djokovic | 48c | 35.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Fonseca | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Djokovic | 49c | 32.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…cec8backed Djokovic | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…f4ccbacked Fonseca | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Djokovic | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…d384backed Djokovic | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Fonseca | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)this page
- Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Joao Fonseca vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Joao Fonseca vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicJoao Fonseca won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Fonseca (+2.5)Fonseca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.