TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaevof Julius Walker, Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Julius Walker17c194,985$32,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,897.567454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c47…06fbbacked Julius Walker23c24,371$5,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,551.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+201%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8694…2ae8backed Julius Walker0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Julius Walker16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96029151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d6…c4adbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c4,314$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c4,080$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.6322548%108 W · 117 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c3,555$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.5418032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Julius Walker18c3,208$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.38940.4%36 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Julius Walker15c3,139$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.820248.5%98 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Julius Walker17c2,647$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.610035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c2,282$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.537862.8%49 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c2,091$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Julius Walker17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Julius Walker16c1,793$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.49746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev75c1,731$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2213951.1%71 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Julius Walker22c1,220$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.153636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc536…3642backed Julius Walker19c1,035$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Julius Walker15c935.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3642042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Julius Walker17c564.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Julius Walker3c504$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+65.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.051560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c499.99$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c499.2$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.524969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Julius Walker21c474.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.753745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev76c449.98$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9918160.8%110 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Julius Walker16c410.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.681526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Julius Walker17c399.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked Julius Walker23c383.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…8673backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev80c375.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.817170.4%50 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed Julius Walker17c371.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.211216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-59.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Julius Walker17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev76c341.77$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.276269.4%43 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c320$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1211240.2%45 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…e8c1backed Julius Walker19c318.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…6492backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Julius Walker20c270.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.212147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…c014backed Julius Walker19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c244$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.245151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Julius Walker17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c234.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c210.42$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…8c06backed Julius Walker17c202.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+150.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Julius Walker17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7380…9019backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c195.31$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c191.07$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Julius Walker17c173.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Julius Walker17c173.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Julius Walker18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c136.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.477859%46 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Julius Walker28c125.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Julius Walker16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7368…8d47backed Julius Walker17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…0f4cbacked Julius Walker17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev80c111.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1d82backed Julius Walker21c103.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.485259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…791bbacked Julius Walker16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Julius Walker17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Julius Walker16c98.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Julius Walker17c94.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c91.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c90.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0717524%42 W · 133 L-22.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe8f…427fbacked Julius Walker20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Julius Walker17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515139.7%60 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9413…11acbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev76c87.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.029459.6%56 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c82.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Julius Walker16c79.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.967850%39 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217d…737ebacked Julius Walker17c67.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.512853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7319…a803backed Julius Walker17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113465.7%88 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30d9…2ab9backed Julius Walker17c62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd051…53e1backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c60.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.395271.2%37 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Julius Walker24c58.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0514543.4%63 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c56.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f5…50d6backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c52.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0d…9ddabacked Julius Walker20c51.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-76.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev75c45.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c44.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Julius Walker23c44.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2720952.6%110 W · 99 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.554879.2%38 W · 10 L+7.8wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+27.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1440…2c5ebacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c29.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1598…c488backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6412860.2%77 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9d…3d93backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c25.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev76c20.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.963278.1%25 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9702…7c65backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev78c20.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev76c15.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.837147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb1…e1d6backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.456100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c14.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.059759.8%58 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev79c13.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9324256.2%136 W · 106 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.