Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a1f33810f0ff61ade8e38096b64f533c2ac1b6828f5f71bc8961857899c65c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $341,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $285,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,123 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa61b…9d74backed Yes	1c	17,824$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.56	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	39cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes	14c	12,780$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.08	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+103.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc64c…b6d4backed Yes	3c	9,918$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd78f…9cffbacked Yes	4c	9,616$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.35	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e3…c9d0backed Yes	0c	9,558$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes	2c	8,983$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.39	280	21.1%59 W · 221 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…b2debacked Yes	2c	8,443$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes	1c	7,109$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.6	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…a403backed Yes	5c	6,985$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.61	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes	2c	6,640$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	146	6.2%9 W · 137 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes	2c	4,529$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.62	475	4.6%22 W · 453 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+144.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes	6c	4,432$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.8	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8907…d8e6backed Yes	0c	4,320$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes	5c	4,221$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.81	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	3,710$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.96	281	13.2%37 W · 244 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes	4c	3,624$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.45	86	34.9%30 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes	11c	3,315$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.65	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	4c	3,279$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc131…f290backed Yes	1c	3,050$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed36…e096backed Yes	16c	2,747$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.52	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-7.4wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes	2c	2,545$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	227	0.9%2 W · 225 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a08…9513backed Yes	5c	2,150$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yes	4c	2,100$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0860…cfbbbacked Yes	13c	1,929$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77f9…655dbacked Yes	3c	1,696$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes	21c	1,411$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.73	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	2c	1,353$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.47	197	0%0 W · 197 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Yes	5c	1,344$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes	3c	1,331$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	104	3.8%4 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes	2c	1,310$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	102	4.9%5 W · 97 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae79…9161backed Yes	2c	1,237$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	212	6.6%14 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes	8c	1,187$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.93	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1228…f18cbacked Yes	2c	1,165$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e2…282fbacked Yes	2c	1,154$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…b17bbacked Yes	2c	1,028$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x465c…e94dbacked Yes	5c	976.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd143…83ecbacked Yes	7c	963.61$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	102	21.6%22 W · 80 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…6c58backed Yes	2c	930$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.95	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6dc…246ebacked No	76c	920.52$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.99	137	70.1%96 W · 41 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe956…c4e0backed Yes	3c	909.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	30cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb5b…84e8backed Yes	6c	885.28$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes	3c	884.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes	2c	862$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.49	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	798.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.55	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5898…945fbacked Yes	3c	791.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8733backed Yes	2c	722.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…ebaebacked Yes	4c	704.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c1…79f5backed Yes	3c	697$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2c…e783backed Yes	26c	687.26$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.69	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa219…60e8backed Yes	3c	667.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9497…86a9backed Yes	3c	600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4302…9d72backed Yes	4c	587.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc6…17d0backed Yes	2c	581.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9314…b89cbacked Yes	3c	574.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33fb…897cbacked Yes	3c	542.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	3c	511.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207c…52fabacked Yes	3c	501.83$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	12c	483.67$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.49	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85cf…51e8backed Yes	5c	466.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…edd8backed Yes	27c	456.82$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	12c	440.1$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	136	24.3%33 W · 103 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes	11c	411.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.71	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Yes	8c	399.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.96	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7558…2d70backed Yes	3c	398.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	110	5.5%6 W · 104 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	4c	360$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	292	2.1%6 W · 286 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628c…c651backed Yes	13c	340.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a2…a07abacked Yes	4c	314.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes	5c	310$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-53%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	103	1.9%2 W · 101 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes	14c	299.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.98	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x318a…4a32backed Yes	6c	298.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e98…e39abacked Yes	5c	297$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x438d…ce57backed Yes	27c	284.72$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.89	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-87.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes	7c	265.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+94%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb37b…5186backed Yes	18c	250$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.83	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes	14c	249.97$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceed…aca1backed Yes	6c	226.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d90…f69fbacked Yes	5c	220$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-58%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf7…b311backed Yes	13c	217.52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4717…c9ecbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb325…d44bbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c0…c1efbacked Yes	16c	192.29$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca55…efebbacked Yes	6c	190.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…8ffebacked Yes	10c	174.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f09…e2a1backed Yes	23c	166.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710a…898dbacked No	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	74cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd984…18dfbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b19…3f42backed Yes	26c	105.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d4…f1f5backed No	80c	103.39$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.74	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f95…01a8backed Yes	27c	100.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.05	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0729…04e5backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked No	75c	96.04$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bf…5c35backed No	75c	88.44$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…dea6backed No	79c	71.78$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3d…bd04backed No	79c	60.22$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.53	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8760…d904backed Yes	19c	59.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe61…e9c2backed No	69c	26.8$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.31	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	65cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 April 27-May 3?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 April 27-May 3?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 April 27-May 3?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event