Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Jesper de Jong vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d794bd6cfb4387b73474ea5cc598242a15f599d9d18bb49227a9b5fee7f1cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Jong, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jong | 24c | 33,213$8,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,011.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jong | 19c | 23,451$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Rublev | 80c | 23,404$18,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.03 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jong | 16c | 14,860$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.91 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rublev | 57c | 14,760$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.79 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jong | 10c | 7,939$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Jong | 42c | 7,200$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jong | 14c | 6,470$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.63 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Jong | 39c | 6,214$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.61 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Jong | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jong | 21c | 4,547$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Rublev | 74c | 3,391$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.41 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jong | 12c | 3,340$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.44 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…63d7backed Rublev | 65c | 3,276$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Rublev | 75c | 3,140$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.12 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Rublev | 72c | 3,023$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.07 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Rublev | 58c | 2,875$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.79 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Jong | 15c | 2,700$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jong | 24c | 2,610$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.37 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Jong | 23c | 2,325$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Jong | 10c | 1,985$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jong | 16c | 1,933$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rublev | 75c | 1,871$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Rublev | 61c | 1,695$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.31 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Jong | 4c | 1,613$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Rublev | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rublev | 78c | 1,270$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Jong | 15c | 1,186$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Jong | 17c | 1,139$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Jong | 17c | 1,031$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Jong | 16c | 868.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Jong | 16c | 777$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jong | 14c | 714.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Jong | 15c | 696.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jong | 17c | 661.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Jong | 43c | 647.08$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Rublev | 76c | 642.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Jong | 39c | 641.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Rublev | 63c | 635.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Jong | 18c | 560.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jong | 23c | 529.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jong | 13c | 515.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Rublev | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Rublev | 64c | 468.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jong | 16c | 451$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Jong | 4c | 426.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev | 64c | 418.69$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Jong | 6c | 405$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Rublev | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…e88ebacked Rublev | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Rublev | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Jong | 43c | 353.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Rublev | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jong | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jong | 15c | 296.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Rublev | 70c | 286.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jong | 37c | 271.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Jong | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rublev | 63c | 231.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Jong | 16c | 223.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Jong | 36c | 221.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Jong | 9c | 201.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Rublev | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Rublev | 76c | 199.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jong | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Rublev | 61c | 182.4$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Jong | 9c | 180.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Rublev | 70c | 179.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Jong | 27c | 159.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Rublev | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Jong | 9c | 140.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jong | 31c | 128.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Rublev | 56c | 124.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Jong | 24c | 122.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Jong | 42c | 122.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Jong | 16c | 112.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Rublev | 74c | 111$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…997ebacked Jong | 10c | 102.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jong | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Rublev | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jong | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jong | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Rublev | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jong | 14c | 76.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Jong | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rublev | 75c | 67.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…f008backed Jong | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Rublev | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Rublev | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Rublev | 79c | 59.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Jong | 20c | 50.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Jong | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jong | 24c | 44.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Rublev | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…f8a0backed Rublev | 59c | 41.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Jong | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Rublev | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Jong | 42c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Rublev | 76c | 37.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Jong | 43c | 33.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Jesper de Jong vs Andrey Rublevthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jong vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.