TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,038 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Avalanche55c10,182$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.826147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks45c10,083$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.6551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Avalanche52c8,850$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,247.985552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Blackhawks48c6,931$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3271020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9789547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Blackhawks44c2,250$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9906656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Avalanche56c2,222$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.229752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks44c1,911$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.951,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks42c1,503$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.992,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche53c1,493$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.522,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Blackhawks47c1,317$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6193050%15 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Blackhawks45c891.11$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks45c798.13$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Blackhawks33c744$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.916235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche52c657.89$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.231,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks46c637.07$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Blackhawks48c596.25$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.212548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blackhawks45c582.5$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3923047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks44c547.32$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Blackhawks48c380.08$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.443336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Blackhawks45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Avalanche55c325$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14715054%81 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Blackhawks48c301.73$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.835747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Blackhawks48c272$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5621549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche56c257$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0815145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks43c234$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.661,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche56c232.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.012,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Avalanche57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.076352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Blackhawks46c226.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5638147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Avalanche61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Blackhawks46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Avalanche55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Blackhawks44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Avalanche56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Avalanche57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4425258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Blackhawks45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7225337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Avalanche60c153$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.851,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blackhawks48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7233950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Blackhawks41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.889944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Blackhawks48c139.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.096645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.742847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Blackhawks46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507450%37 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Blackhawks46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Avalanche61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1515265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Avalanche58c94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.489141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Blackhawks48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Avalanche61c85.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4537857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Avalanche56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.210860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d8…49b8backed Avalanche52c68.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.621947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche55c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Blackhawks45c64.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Blackhawks48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4934…cca1backed Avalanche56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Blackhawks44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.281844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Blackhawks44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2836648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Blackhawks44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.44040%16 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Avalanche59c59.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1338447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Blackhawks46c58.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Blackhawks46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4847753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Blackhawks46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Avalanche56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211258%65 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Blackhawks48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Avalanche55c49.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4919052.1%99 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Avalanche57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9242750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Blackhawks48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214445.8%66 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Avalanche56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ec…c4f2backed Avalanche54c39.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Avalanche51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2254049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Blackhawks46c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4986049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Avalanche60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Avalanche51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4112547.2%59 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Blackhawks43c28.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2719254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Avalanche57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.327951.9%41 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Avalanche56c23.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…f59abacked Blackhawks48c21.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Avalanche60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9522759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Avalanche56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.859852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3233…0dd5backed Avalanche55c18.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.261181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+53.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c5d…1074backed Avalanche55c18.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0869…1f5ebacked Avalanche55c18.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.222352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03af…4c28backed Avalanche55c18.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.