NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41df663fafab07d48c95b49d99e4d4411189b2d2ce6bb3401879dd65e989ba7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 3,099$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.68 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 59c | 2,125$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…e87cbacked Over | 68c | 1,420$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 59c | 956$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.04 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 615.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 27c | 512.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.42 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 66c | 293.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 40c | 278.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 276.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 55c | 267.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Over | 70c | 257.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 221.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 37c | 126$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 48c | 120.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 44c | 92.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 41c | 87.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 39c | 80.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 37c | 76.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 52c | 76.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 62c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 44c | 27.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 38c | 27.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 27.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 57c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. BlackhawksAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.