NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c6701f415e5541b4141b0734b48565d18b87f8fd143c381832aa9c1ac2f4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,899 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 10,953$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.51 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.12 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 48c | 1,490$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 1,348$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.04 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,296$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.87 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 731.66$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Under | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 420.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 301.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 53c | 292.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 289.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 257$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 70c | 209$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 173.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 146.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 47c | 143.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 131.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 129.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 53c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 53c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 123.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 22c | 119.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 109$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 65c | 77.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 53c | 61.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Under | 54c | 58.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…fadfbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Over | 48c | 48.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 53c | 43.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 43.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 46c | 37.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 31.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 51c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…241fbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. BlackhawksAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.