MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6496b1a581ad19966382b46ad1fe6c7787c75703af4c16334f390a28ecc8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 7,468$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,953$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.84 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 3,852$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 3,378$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 3,119$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,249$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.15 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 790.14$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 781.28$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 739.18$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.32 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 476.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 423.84$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 397.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 397.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 336.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 243.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 228.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 223.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 199.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 167.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 153.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 142.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 120.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b019backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 120.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 118.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 106.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 95.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 73.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 60.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 43.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 30.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 30.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 19.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 16.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona DiamondbacksAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 16.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.