Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ad84c2ee62a4edaaa05441b13e235afe3afe791e6cae6a13c2c5731edbe2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,693 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 35c | 20,606$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,440.65 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 70c | 7,195$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.71 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 6,830$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Over | 51c | 5,248$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 4,869$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 70c | 4,481$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.91 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,695$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.55 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 2,104$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.04 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 70c | 2,035$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 48c | 1,272$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.58 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Under | 52c | 1,149$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.35 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 51c | 1,016$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.71 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 70c | 991.23$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 944.4$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 52c | 938.81$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.67 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 45c | 642.88$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Under | 49c | 603.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 48c | 573.97$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Under | 49c | 392.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 53c | 365.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…5548backed Over | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 47c | 330.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 264.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 52c | 256.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 248.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 141.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 53c | 109.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Over | 53c | 109.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 94.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 52c | 78.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 70.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…737bbacked Over | 51c | 63.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 50c | 47.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Under | 51c | 44.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 58c | 39.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 27.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Over | 53c | 23.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 23.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5this page
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5Under won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-24.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.