Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f43598db97701c04c821d2cb0cd1418078fde4c71868aff2f524cb9a7db410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Idaho Vandals, Houston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 148,172$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.86 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Idaho Vandals | 2c | 34,090$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.98 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 28,170$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.46 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 20,510$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Idaho Vandals | 1c | 18,129$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Idaho Vandals | 2c | 16,812$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.01 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 15,894$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.13 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 15,436$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.77 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Idaho Vandals | 1c | 13,723$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…f3f3backed Idaho Vandals | 1c | 13,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 10,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 10,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 9,990$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 8,849$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…bbe6backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 7,555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 7,137$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 6,339$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 6,221$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 5,112$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 5,007$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…daccbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 5,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 4,629$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 4,062$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…cab0backed Idaho Vandals | 2c | 4,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…401fbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 3,778$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 3,205$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 3,097$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Idaho Vandals | 2c | 3,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…defbbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 2,554$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…5ebdbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,998$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Idaho Vandals | 1c | 1,989$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,850$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…7677backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,813$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,722$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…67a8backed Idaho Vandals | 1c | 1,644$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,613$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,514$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,513$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Idaho Vandals | 4c | 1,495$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 999.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…1d82backed Idaho Vandals | 2c | 999.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…bf74backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 999.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Idaho Vandals | 2c | 974.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…e3e2backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 913.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…3fc8backed Idaho Vandals | 1c | 822.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…668cbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 768.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 713.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 713.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 712.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…52a4backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 688.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 587.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 502.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 499.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 449.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 427.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 407.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Idaho Vandals | 3c | 359.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…82d7backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 352.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Idaho Vandals | 3c | 338.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougarsthis page
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5Under won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5Under won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-24.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.