Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1946c438a2c84747c214283af04881764c008108a52f3b3716d347298c15fb83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,137 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 31,817$16,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,741.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 49c | 30,939$15,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,265.29 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 48c | 8,799$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.47 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,224$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 5,860$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.85 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 3,069$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 51c | 3,051$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.96 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,167$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.31 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 52c | 1,700$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.97 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Over | 49c | 996.21$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 991.26$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.39 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 403.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 52c | 370.18$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.69 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 272.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 49c | 269.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 48c | 259.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Under | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Over | 51c | 194.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 52c | 119.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 101.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 99.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 52c | 76.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 42c | 74.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…770fbacked Under | 54c | 69.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 59.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 49c | 55.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Under | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 22.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5this page
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5Under won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-24.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.