MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53f5d46e0de25c0240c9b88b1b41a77575c6848cc5471ab033b55ceaaa2d510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Colorado Rockies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 192,400$72,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,343.28 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 34,325$21,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,043.4 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 33,764$20,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,830.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 31,970$20,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,828.99 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 26,153$16,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,814.93 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 24,387$15,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,152.14 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 20,870$13,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,722.03 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 15,069$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.89 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 12,879$8,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.34 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 9,024$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.28 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 8,986$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 7,766$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.7 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 6,831$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.07 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 6,792$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.95 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 5,972$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.74 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 5,754$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.1 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 3,958$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 3,450$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.38 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 2,991$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 2,980$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 2,488$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.7 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 2,473$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.83 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 2,266$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.76 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 2,197$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.72 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies | 11c | 2,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 1,943$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Colorado Rockies | 20c | 1,555$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.23 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.79 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,484$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 13c | 1,277$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Colorado Rockies | 20c | 1,264$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 891.46$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 843$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Colorado Rockies | 22c | 840.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 813.53$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.53 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 801.19$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 799.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 789$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 774$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…a98fbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 733.07$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 690.22$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.37 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 669.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Colorado Rockies | 13c | 659.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 605.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 553.54$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Colorado Rockies | 23c | 530.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 500.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 487.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…d027backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 377$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 363.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 361$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies | 17c | 303.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 301.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 281$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 266.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 263.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 260.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 249.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 246.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 239$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 221$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 219.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies | 5c | 216.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 213.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1a…3538backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 197.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 188.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 186.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 144.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…2281backed Colorado Rockies | 7c | 143.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 139.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 135.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed Colorado Rockies | 12c | 130.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 126.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 125.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 123.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.