Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ella McDonald vs Elvina Kalieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1f4f67cd40100ababded88e3c032b7f38944e156064fdc42229fc86eeec80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elvina Kalievaof Ella McDonald, Elvina Kalieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ella McDonald | 44c | 14,951$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,614.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Elvina Kalieva | 51c | 13,667$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.49 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elvina Kalieva | 60c | 7,183$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ella McDonald | 44c | 6,825$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.62 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Elvina Kalieva | 33c | 3,032$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.05 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 3,005$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.1 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Elvina Kalieva | 61c | 2,500$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.47 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Elvina Kalieva | 60c | 2,216$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Ella McDonald | 42c | 1,845$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ella McDonald | 46c | 1,838$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Elvina Kalieva | 44c | 1,495$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.76 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elvina Kalieva | 67c | 1,473$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Elvina Kalieva | 77c | 1,470$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.47 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Elvina Kalieva | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 1,213$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Ella McDonald | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.43 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Elvina Kalieva | 45c | 1,095$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.47 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Ella McDonald | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Elvina Kalieva | 46c | 1,054$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.87 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Elvina Kalieva | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.67 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ella McDonald | 59c | 1,000$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Elvina Kalieva | 55c | 844.68$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.11 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elvina Kalieva | 44c | 826.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ella McDonald | 65c | 826.33$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Ella McDonald | 46c | 705.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Ella McDonald | 33c | 604.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Ella McDonald | 18c | 579.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Ella McDonald | 68c | 548.41$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Ella McDonald | 23c | 546.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Ella McDonald | 41c | 505.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Ella McDonald | 45c | 479.86$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Ella McDonald | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Ella McDonald | 63c | 471.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elvina Kalieva | 49c | 441.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Elvina Kalieva | 36c | 402.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Ella McDonald | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ella McDonald | 57c | 382.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Elvina Kalieva | 47c | 351.19$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Elvina Kalieva | 59c | 341.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Elvina Kalieva | 44c | 322.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 319.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Elvina Kalieva | 56c | 319.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Ella McDonald | 38c | 299.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ella McDonald | 37c | 294.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ella McDonald | 45c | 289.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ella McDonald | 54c | 269.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…3eb0backed Ella McDonald | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed Ella McDonald | 39c | 261.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ella McDonald | 51c | 240.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ella McDonald | 62c | 214.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Elvina Kalieva | 62c | 214.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Ella McDonald | 54c | 213.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Elvina Kalieva | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Elvina Kalieva | 36c | 205.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Elvina Kalieva | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ella McDonald | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Ella McDonald | 45c | 191.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ella McDonald | 42c | 187.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ella McDonald | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Elvina Kalieva | 53c | 185.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…b9b3backed Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elvina Kalieva | 59c | 182.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Elvina Kalieva | 65c | 181.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecf…b995backed Elvina Kalieva | 44c | 181.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Ella McDonald | 72c | 175$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Elvina Kalieva | 68c | 166.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Ella McDonald | 42c | 165.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Elvina Kalieva | 42c | 161.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Ella McDonald | 50c | 158.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elvina Kalieva | 66c | 148.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Elvina Kalieva | 63c | 143.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Elvina Kalieva | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…d38abacked Elvina Kalieva | 52c | 132.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Elvina Kalieva | 42c | 127.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ella McDonald | 41c | 126.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Elvina Kalieva | 46c | 122.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Elvina Kalieva | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Elvina Kalieva | 42c | 118.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Ella McDonald | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elvina Kalieva | 49c | 109.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Ella McDonald | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ella McDonald | 16c | 102.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Ella McDonald | 43c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Elvina Kalieva | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Elvina Kalieva | 38c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Elvina Kalieva | 35c | 99.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Elvina Kalieva | 32c | 94.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Ella McDonald | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ella McDonald | 70c | 86.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Elvina Kalieva | 51c | 84.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Ella McDonald | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Ella McDonald | 51c | 81.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Ella McDonald | 49c | 77.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ella McDonald | 20c | 76.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ella McDonald | 20c | 76.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Ella McDonald | 32c | 72.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Ella McDonald | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…a06dbacked Elvina Kalieva | 42c | 71.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Ella McDonald | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ella McDonald | 20c | 67.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ella McDonald vs Elvina Kalievathis page
- Set Handicap: Kalieva (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)McDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.