TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cary: William Manning vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
William Manningof William Manning, Michael Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh64c21,674$13,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,898.0111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed William Manning27c10,660$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,825.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cc…1e37backed William Manning54c9,751$5,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Michael Mmoh4c7,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked William Manning35c2,152$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.6245343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Mmoh62c2,088$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.038,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Michael Mmoh71c1,839$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.6662956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Michael Mmoh77c1,545$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked William Manning30c1,522$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.2652152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ce…e2bdbacked William Manning45c1,216$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.5813056.2%73 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michael Mmoh64c1,163$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.456,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Michael Mmoh46c955.55$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.661,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked William Manning36c800$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed William Manning30c625.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.223,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked William Manning23c615.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.234,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Michael Mmoh68c508.41$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.391,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed William Manning26c500.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.669,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked William Manning33c497.09$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.61,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed William Manning20c465.1$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.181,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Michael Mmoh70c411.4$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.934,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked William Manning17c366.15$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1514246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed William Manning20c353.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.381,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed William Manning32c351.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0927549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed William Manning25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22558021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed Michael Mmoh5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155040%20 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Michael Mmoh70c251.01$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9672755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed William Manning24c245.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.544758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Michael Mmoh44c222.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.074,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed William Manning24c219.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.58,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Michael Mmoh67c213.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5540350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed William Manning14c213.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.764,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed William Manning20c204.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Michael Mmoh50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed William Manning31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed William Manning23c186.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.963,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked William Manning23c178.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.263,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed William Manning21c167.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.262,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked William Manning23c166.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.341,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked William Manning23c160.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.481,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4db…8d30backed Michael Mmoh70c143.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Michael Mmoh73c140.9$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.295,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Michael Mmoh74c137$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.531,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed William Manning51c136.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.821,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked William Manning23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4349943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Michael Mmoh49c129.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5185449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed William Manning25c118.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.792,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed William Manning32c115.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.844,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Michael Mmoh73c111.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5412846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked William Manning25c111.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.151,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Michael Mmoh78c110$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4541272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed William Manning46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Michael Mmoh64c103.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.142,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked William Manning28c102.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8328055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Michael Mmoh74c100.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5975350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed William Manning22c100.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.722,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Michael Mmoh67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6743552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed William Manning25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Michael Mmoh80c96.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.951,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Michael Mmoh78c95.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5816755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed William Manning54c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.482,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked William Manning23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9623536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked William Manning15c84.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.373,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed William Manning17c82.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3516940.2%68 W · 101 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Michael Mmoh75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f84…a3b4backed William Manning15c78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed William Manning18c77.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.592,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Michael Mmoh76c77.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3429551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Michael Mmoh67c74.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.164,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed William Manning18c70.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.574422.7%10 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Michael Mmoh74c68.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.651,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Michael Mmoh73c60.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.212,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked William Manning23c60.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8728249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Michael Mmoh49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.179052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed William Manning28c54.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.191,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Michael Mmoh64c53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9227353.1%145 W · 128 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Michael Mmoh70c51.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Michael Mmoh69c51.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2533152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed William Manning26c49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Michael Mmoh74c46.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.521,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Michael Mmoh66c45.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8633557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked William Manning28c44.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1978847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Michael Mmoh76c44.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.791,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Michael Mmoh67c43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8143950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed William Manning52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2425336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Michael Mmoh64c36.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4855149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Mmoh69c34.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.287,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Michael Mmoh66c33.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2248552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Michael Mmoh53c32.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.375,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Michael Mmoh59c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Michael Mmoh78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Mmoh77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.186,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Michael Mmoh68c28.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3648152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Michael Mmoh66c28.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.588542.4%36 W · 49 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Michael Mmoh56c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.564042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Michael Mmoh66c21.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Michael Mmoh77c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9524…315cbacked Michael Mmoh72c18.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2f…9c26backed Michael Mmoh74c17.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Michael Mmoh67c16.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2834957.9%202 W · 147 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2acc…cfedbacked Michael Mmoh74c16.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.981060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.