Tennis · resolved market
Astana: Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698b8ed7978ab7f8aa697d674b0be6c3deb85955f74079dbee324e17d7e1367f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hayato Matsuokaof Fajing Sun, Hayato Matsuoka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fajing Sun | 12c | 35,993$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hayato Matsuoka | 77c | 14,457$11,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.93 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Fajing Sun | 35c | 5,128$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.67 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Fajing Sun | 38c | 2,722$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.82 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Fajing Sun | 20c | 1,725$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Hayato Matsuoka | 73c | 1,575$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hayato Matsuoka | 75c | 1,308$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Fajing Sun | 6c | 1,304$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 51c | 1,264$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Fajing Sun | 25c | 1,180$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka | 77c | 1,049$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 923.67$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.04 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Fajing Sun | 9c | 834.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Fajing Sun | 5c | 718.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Fajing Sun | 15c | 604.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Fajing Sun | 15c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fajing Sun | 41c | 599.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.36 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Fajing Sun | 15c | 594.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 505.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fajing Sun | 39c | 470.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Fajing Sun | 14c | 411.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 407.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Fajing Sun | 7c | 385.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Fajing Sun | 42c | 359.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fajing Sun | 44c | 339.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 322.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 307.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 286$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 65c | 277.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hayato Matsuoka | 75c | 276.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fajing Sun | 30c | 275.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 267.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 75c | 267$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Fajing Sun | 17c | 262.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…6f76backed Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 244.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 243.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…e6a1backed Fajing Sun | 39c | 243.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Fajing Sun | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Fajing Sun | 21c | 233.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Fajing Sun | 16c | 233$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Fajing Sun | 18c | 226.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Fajing Sun | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hayato Matsuoka | 66c | 201.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Hayato Matsuoka | 76c | 190.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fajing Sun | 20c | 182$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Fajing Sun | 13c | 180.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Fajing Sun | 40c | 179.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hayato Matsuoka | 70c | 170.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Fajing Sun | 17c | 170.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fajing Sun | 41c | 170$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Fajing Sun | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Fajing Sun | 43c | 159.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fajing Sun | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 132.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Fajing Sun | 40c | 132.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 127.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Fajing Sun | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Fajing Sun | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fajing Sun | 22c | 117.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fajing Sun | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 112.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Fajing Sun | 35c | 105.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Fajing Sun | 18c | 105.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Hayato Matsuoka | 80c | 102.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Fajing Sun | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fajing Sun | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Hayato Matsuoka | 77c | 99.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Fajing Sun | 16c | 97.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fajing Sun | 41c | 97.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 97.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…6018backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 96.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Fajing Sun | 23c | 95.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 94.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Hayato Matsuoka | 75c | 91.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Fajing Sun | 40c | 87.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fajing Sun | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hayato Matsuoka | 73c | 74.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 72.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 76c | 69.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Fajing Sun | 15c | 68.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fajing Sun | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 62.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Fajing Sun | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 74c | 53.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Fajing Sun | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Fajing Sun | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astana: Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuokathis page
- Astana: Completed Match: Fajing Sun vs Hayato MatsuokaYes won
- Set Handicap: Matsuoka (-1.5) vs Sun (+1.5)Matsuoka won
- Sun vs. Matsuoka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.