Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c081317bffe50f09afed5d8d89a2bdb540c1e35c36fc14d1e0e9494fe9c95a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denis Shapovalovof Denis Shapovalov, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denis Shapovalov | 66c | 53,646$35,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,992.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 35,327$12,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,837.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 31,011$11,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,070.18 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 28,981$11,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,012.69 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 62c | 23,773$14,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.68 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 16,243$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,774.69 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 13,750$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Denis Shapovalov | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 9,391$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.09 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 8,456$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.51 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 8,056$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.37 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 6,968$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.78 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 6,876$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.98 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 6,540$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.81 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denis Shapovalov | 68c | 5,560$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 5,180$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.79 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 5,088$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.72 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 4,876$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.9 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 4,569$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 3,167$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 3,099$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.7 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Denis Shapovalov | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.77 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Shapovalov | 65c | 2,599$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 2,470$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 2,346$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Denis Shapovalov | 78c | 2,179$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.49 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 2,039$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.54 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 2,029$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.06 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 1,922$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.36 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 1,900$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.55 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 1,593$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.38 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 1,500$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.27 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 1,487$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.93 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 1,484$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.31 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 1,462$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.19 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Denis Shapovalov | 63c | 1,237$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Denis Shapovalov | 62c | 1,213$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.11 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Denis Shapovalov | 66c | 1,210$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.32 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 1,208$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 1,110$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.06 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 1,033$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.54 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Denis Shapovalov | 67c | 998.95$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Denis Shapovalov | 78c | 961$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 957.89$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.01 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 951.52$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.31 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 916.27$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.86 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 815.52$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.52 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Denis Shapovalov | 73c | 811.44$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Denis Shapovalov | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 764.59$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 706$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.28 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 677.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 627.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Denis Shapovalov | 73c | 626.52$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Denis Shapovalov | 73c | 625.57$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 608.81$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 604.61$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 603.59$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Denis Shapovalov | 69c | 537.55$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 519$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 516.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 499.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…e762backed Denis Shapovalov | 77c | 492$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Denis Shapovalov | 75c | 483.93$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 467.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Denis Shapovalov | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 448$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 441.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 436.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 423.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 404$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…38d3backed Denis Shapovalov | 65c | 376.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 373.72$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Denis Shapovalov | 73c | 368.36$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 366.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 351.14$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 350$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 348.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Adrian Mannarino | 3c | 345$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 341.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…5fb9backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…a555backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Denis Shapovalov | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs MannarinoShapovalov won
- Set 2 Winner: Shapovalov vs MannarinoShapovalov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.