TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Felix Gill vs Borna Gojo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Borna Gojoof Felix Gill, Borna Gojo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Borna Gojo52c7,886$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.189,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Borna Gojo53c4,347$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.1211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Borna Gojo60c4,014$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.938,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Felix Gill45c2,514$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.311147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Felix Gill50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023462.8%147 W · 87 L+16.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Borna Gojo21c1,900$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.322123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Felix Gill28c1,880$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.421,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Felix Gill23c1,836$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.11,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Borna Gojo58c1,745$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.135,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Gill68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0209,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Felix Gill53c1,494$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.6937849.2%186 W · 192 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Felix Gill39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033137.2%123 W · 208 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Felix Gill74c1,261$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.444,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Felix Gill51c1,119$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.31,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Felix Gill50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Felix Gill26c955.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Felix Gill39c826.23$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.473,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Felix Gill50c798.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Borna Gojo62c793.65$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5911047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Felix Gill29c766$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7141758.5%244 W · 173 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Borna Gojo26c587.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.431,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Borna Gojo36c501.76$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.674,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Felix Gill50c445.69$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3419540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Felix Gill50c422.69$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2139646.5%184 W · 212 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Felix Gill47c413.83$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.526,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Felix Gill26c372.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.339648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Felix Gill57c343$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.521,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Borna Gojo73c329.16$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1714245.1%64 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Felix Gill50c327.36$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.714634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Felix Gill39c317.26$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.331656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Felix Gill47c317.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.798,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Felix Gill70c310$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.622352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Borna Gojo53c305.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.41,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Felix Gill33c305.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…0dabbacked Borna Gojo57c295.48$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.616752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Borna Gojo68c291.34$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.943,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Felix Gill70c285$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.851,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Borna Gojo52c280.52$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.560452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Felix Gill34c270.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.143,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Borna Gojo62c261.32$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.316957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Felix Gill44c231.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5982657.1%472 W · 354 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Borna Gojo17c223.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0540659.9%243 W · 163 L+30.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Felix Gill68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Borna Gojo66c182$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.566,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Felix Gill67c179.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Felix Gill17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Felix Gill45c175$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3141758.5%244 W · 173 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc611…cc2ebacked Felix Gill10c174.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Felix Gill30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Felix Gill51c163.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0772147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Borna Gojo53c143.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.752,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Felix Gill44c140.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Borna Gojo18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8951636.2%187 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e1…86b5backed Felix Gill12c135.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.264623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Borna Gojo59c132.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4233165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Felix Gill76c132$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.831,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Felix Gill64c130.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5525848.4%125 W · 133 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Borna Gojo23c126.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.231,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Felix Gill40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5096255.8%537 W · 425 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Borna Gojo33c114.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.991,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Felix Gill28c112.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9833550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Felix Gill40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Felix Gill50c106.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.393369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Felix Gill40c105.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.28072.5%58 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Felix Gill27c101.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.465,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Felix Gill39c101.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022550.7%114 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Borna Gojo20c100.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3675912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Borna Gojo71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Borna Gojo50c99.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7725048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Borna Gojo38c98.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.844,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Borna Gojo60c97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Borna Gojo54c96.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0153946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Felix Gill33c94.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.281,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+48.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Borna Gojo30c94.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.832,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Felix Gill49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.155360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f21…7230backed Felix Gill33c89.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Felix Gill52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Borna Gojo67c86.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.155,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…9b52backed Felix Gill34c85.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Felix Gill50c83.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8715651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Felix Gill80c82.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6647166.5%313 W · 158 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Felix Gill38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045139%176 W · 275 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Borna Gojo65c78.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.531,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felix Gill66c75.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.817,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Felix Gill40c75.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8644138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Felix Gill67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5089754.6%490 W · 407 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Felix Gill67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095655.9%534 W · 422 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Felix Gill36c71.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7238951.2%199 W · 190 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63d…d405backed Felix Gill68c70.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.697661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Felix Gill40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.625546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Felix Gill26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.031,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Felix Gill47c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8425652%133 W · 123 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Felix Gill42c60.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4376355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Felix Gill31c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…4b02backed Felix Gill67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe16d…0304backed Felix Gill45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Borna Gojo72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Borna Gojo74c54.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.077963.3%50 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Borna Gojo24c53.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5949251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Borna Gojo74c50.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2324858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.