TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harris

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lloyd Harrisof Henry Searle, Lloyd Harris
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lloyd Harris77c4,479$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.598,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Henry Searle29c3,102$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Henry Searle46c2,702$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.293542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Henry Searle4c2,275$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lloyd Harris55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.263,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Henry Searle54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Henry Searle46c1,792$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.4630440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Henry Searle32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.849,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lloyd Harris76c1,269$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.463,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lloyd Harris70c1,134$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.444,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Henry Searle25c1,126$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5511850%59 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lloyd Harris57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lloyd Harris70c810.05$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.338,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Henry Searle43c790$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.770254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lloyd Harris64c737.54$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Henry Searle44c599.97$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Lloyd Harris55c577.49$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8722352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Henry Searle10c569.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Henry Searle43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lloyd Harris54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Lloyd Harris69c485.5$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.082,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Henry Searle31c479.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.835,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Henry Searle45c455.84$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6863537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Henry Searle45c381.49$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.862,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Henry Searle48c371.63$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.371,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lloyd Harris57c349.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.164,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Henry Searle15c331.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Henry Searle43c295.53$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5515545.2%70 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Lloyd Harris56c249.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8627139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Lloyd Harris54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4837238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lloyd Harris65c225.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.883,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Henry Searle40c222.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.752,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Lloyd Harris63c218.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.939648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Henry Searle27c214.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3591051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Henry Searle44c211.91$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.27,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Henry Searle31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Henry Searle32c208.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.811,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Henry Searle26c207.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9544349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Henry Searle34c207.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.444138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Henry Searle31c207$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.921,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lloyd Harris53c198$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.924,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Henry Searle30c196.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Lloyd Harris57c187.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4634148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Henry Searle22c186.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.342,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Lloyd Harris56c183.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7330644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed Henry Searle32c165.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.457058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lloyd Harris51c162.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.681,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Henry Searle38c158.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Henry Searle30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Lloyd Harris52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Henry Searle31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Henry Searle48c134.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.771,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Lloyd Harris56c127.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.182,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Lloyd Harris56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5528255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Henry Searle44c115.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.723,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Henry Searle44c112.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9727047.8%129 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Henry Searle44c112.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9718147.5%86 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Lloyd Harris56c103.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Henry Searle45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Henry Searle43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Lloyd Harris53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478149.4%40 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Henry Searle44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Lloyd Harris47c97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4197852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e5…e6adbacked Henry Searle23c95.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9110310.7%11 W · 92 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Henry Searle11c91.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.024148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Henry Searle42c89.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3469047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed Lloyd Harris51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.247256.9%41 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Henry Searle43c86.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1325048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Henry Searle32c76.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2426748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Henry Searle16c71.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.647,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Lloyd Harris62c69.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.192,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Lloyd Harris55c68.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.685453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Lloyd Harris66c67.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lloyd Harris73c61.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.746,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Lloyd Harris53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.585748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Henry Searle27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Henry Searle30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Henry Searle30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Henry Searle30c48.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8635039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3c…8290backed Lloyd Harris55c48.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.833641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Henry Searle36c46.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Henry Searle46c45.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.848152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Henry Searle33c44.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Henry Searle35c43.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.431,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lloyd Harris57c40.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Henry Searle25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Lloyd Harris57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.242563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Lloyd Harris52c38.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Henry Searle42c36.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Lloyd Harris56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7181256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Lloyd Harris52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.782159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lloyd Harris58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf12…7e2cbacked Lloyd Harris73c31.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.722934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Lloyd Harris72c31.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Lloyd Harris56c30.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Lloyd Harris55c30.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Lloyd Harris50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Lloyd Harris71c27.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8219347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe326…f075backed Lloyd Harris56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Lloyd Harris75c26.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.625642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.