TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Alex Barrena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxim Mrvaof Maxim Mrva, Alex Barrena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Alex Barrena51c19,723$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maxim Mrva61c11,750$7,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d5…0d68backed Alex Barrena7c10,232$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Maxim Mrva61c4,678$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.811,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Alex Barrena54c3,733$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Alex Barrena4c3,153$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9144018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxim Mrva76c3,074$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.168,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Maxim Mrva63c2,249$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1811257.1%64 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex Barrena46c2,130$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Alex Barrena5c1,763$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8047252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Alex Barrena6c1,732$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Maxim Mrva61c1,591$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.0918947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Maxim Mrva56c1,517$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.311,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Maxim Mrva68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6631253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Maxim Mrva51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.768933.7%30 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maxim Mrva71c1,074$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.258,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Alex Barrena5c1,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Alex Barrena45c968.89$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43624936.5%91 W · 158 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Alex Barrena53c947.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Maxim Mrva56c888.88$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1110252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Maxim Mrva62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4594068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maxim Mrva49c799.66$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.388,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Maxim Mrva55c766.89$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.083,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Maxim Mrva78c613.57$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.493,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alex Barrena15c584.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.755,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Alex Barrena40c499.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.971,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Alex Barrena45c444.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3811337.2%42 W · 71 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Alex Barrena45c444.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7613337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Alex Barrena44c444.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.558842%37 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Alex Barrena44c444.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5510537.1%39 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Alex Barrena44c444.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5511539.1%45 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Alex Barrena44c444.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5510739.3%42 W · 65 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Alex Barrena44c444.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5510038%38 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Alex Barrena45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012441.1%51 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Alex Barrena44c444.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5510240.2%41 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Alex Barrena58c377.93$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.122352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Maxim Mrva53c375.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.81,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Alex Barrena7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Maxim Mrva68c257.08$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.142,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Maxim Mrva57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.563648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Maxim Mrva57c206.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6928954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Maxim Mrva48c203.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7418648.4%90 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Maxim Mrva68c190.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.372,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Maxim Mrva55c183.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.818246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alex Barrena6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.288358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Maxim Mrva80c152.23$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.921,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Maxim Mrva71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Alex Barrena43c134.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0569545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alex Barrena24c124.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Alex Barrena29c124.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.251,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Alex Barrena42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016257.4%93 W · 69 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Maxim Mrva54c118.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3912641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Maxim Mrva57c100.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Alex Barrena40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Alex Barrena38c95.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4216248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bb…e917backed Alex Barrena45c85.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.352254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Maxim Mrva57c75.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.754,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Alex Barrena45c70.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6442748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Alex Barrena47c67.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8473648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Maxim Mrva56c58.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5824762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…c014backed Maxim Mrva55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56041.7%25 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Alex Barrena45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Alex Barrena33c49.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5327724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Alex Barrena43c44.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1855347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Alex Barrena45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012742.5%54 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Maxim Mrva80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.520563.4%130 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Alex Barrena38c40.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Maxim Mrva62c40.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.472,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x927e…cd69backed Maxim Mrva79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.976861.8%42 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd7…1735backed Maxim Mrva62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2613966.2%92 W · 47 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Alex Barrena45c30.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Maxim Mrva51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.794447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Maxim Mrva57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8220558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Maxim Mrva57c27.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7823256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alex Barrena44c22.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Maxim Mrva56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.828164.4%181 W · 100 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Maxim Mrva56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.889134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Maxim Mrva69c18.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.748947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…57adbacked Maxim Mrva78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.313652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.