Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63a8d76976e8cc5bf9403b2af51bb9febe944f5c1881668820f3f0a8f36264b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 19c | 2,984$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.51 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 13c | 1,885$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,837$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Team Resilience | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Resilience | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience | 27c | 878.37$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Team Resilience | 9c | 750.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 738.75$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 11c | 726.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 24c | 684.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 652.35$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Resilience | 3c | 576.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 529.65$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 528.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Resilience | 24c | 520$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Team Resilience | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Resilience | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Resilience | 7c | 465.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Resilience | 23c | 424.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Resilience | 22c | 381.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed Team Resilience | 7c | 299.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 23c | 290.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Resilience | 32c | 285.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Team Resilience | 8c | 283.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Resilience | 13c | 279.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 230.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 197.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Resilience | 8c | 141.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Team Resilience | 27c | 138.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Resilience | 11c | 102.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 78.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 71.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 64.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 64.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Resilience | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 59.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 58.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Team Resilience | 24c | 58.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Team Resilience | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 47.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Resilience | 25c | 45.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 39.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 59 | 78%46 W · 13 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 39.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Resilience | 29c | 38.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Team Resilience | 33c | 36.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 35.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…7bc9backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 24.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.