Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aec7066f2632e0cfd132a6065957d70eb7a74817b6430da9a32f0b38179838c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 5,468$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.42 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 21c | 2,955$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.67 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Resilience | 32c | 2,514$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.15 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 2,004$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.68 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Resilience | 43c | 1,635$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.36 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Resilience | 31c | 1,266$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.87 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Resilience | 34c | 1,214$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 748.81$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 15c | 711.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 580.1$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 39c | 541.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 24c | 480$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 391.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Resilience | 37c | 288.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Team Resilience | 35c | 276.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Resilience | 9c | 253.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 228.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 7c | 226.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 218.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 32c | 209.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 199.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Resilience | 44c | 196.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 45c | 176.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 162.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Resilience | 32c | 145.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 140.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Resilience | 8c | 134.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 133.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 122.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 75.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 41c | 72.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Resilience | 32c | 68.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 63.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Team Resilience | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 53.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 47.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Resilience | 32c | 46.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Team Resilience | 38c | 45.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Resilience | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.