Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8bbae21c6d2b739b0079c1b0502258a18975f8e6d4da77dae0e121368a39a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 2,701$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.29 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 2,171$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.78 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Resilience | 27c | 1,667$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.16 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 33c | 1,532$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.74 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 36c | 1,067$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.3 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 801.82$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 549.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Resilience | 24c | 368.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience | 33c | 330.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 304.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 13c | 241.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 33c | 203.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Team Resilience | 40c | 202.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 175$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 20c | 115.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 36c | 105.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Resilience | 25c | 100.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Resilience | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 86.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Resilience | 28c | 54.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 54.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 48.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 41.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 31.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 25.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 24.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.