Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x992b4bd29cc5511da1c61ec3d453ab39587d26466d67df3cec9c16efc820d47b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof 1win, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed 1win | 4c | 3,204$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 21c | 2,031$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 1,339$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.28 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 11c | 998.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 18c | 820.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…015cbacked 1win | 4c | 651.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 15c | 646.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 9c | 345.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed 1win | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1win | 21c | 277.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 253.07$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 246.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 15c | 237.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed 1win | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed 1win | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 1win | 16c | 94.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 26c | 67.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked 1win | 26c | 50.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 33.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.