TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof 1win, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team70c20,240$14,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,114.0654556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 1win30c12,756$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.182,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win21c7,634$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.521,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed 1win30c5,957$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.1469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed BetBoom Team70c3,254$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.313767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team78c1,747$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.371,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win31c1,679$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9336851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed BetBoom Team73c1,671$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.843450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1win24c1,511$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.552,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed BetBoom Team75c1,316$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7647450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team78c1,290$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.271,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed 1win23c1,244$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1411648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team76c1,092$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BetBoom Team73c1,011$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0847046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win24c983.88$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1345940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win26c961.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0494442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked BetBoom Team70c914.66$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win29c810.27$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.561,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed 1win26c808.79$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.621729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed BetBoom Team70c596.39$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.65100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked 1win25c587.01$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0729240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win32c582$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2426843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win25c528.2$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team77c355.69$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed 1win28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6850444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed 1win28c339.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1133644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed 1win19c320$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.54027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked 1win32c314.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.764332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed 1win26c288.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed BetBoom Team71c276.16$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1811653.4%62 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed 1win30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked BetBoom Team69c225.74$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7517954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win29c180.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked 1win13c162.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.762222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked BetBoom Team74c150.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8236761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed 1win37c147.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3130534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked 1win30c141.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5340644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked BetBoom Team71c138.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.619058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed 1win33c134.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.431,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed 1win11c123.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76d4…5f94backed 1win11c114.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1win30c106.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.491,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3091…748dbacked 1win28c103.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.718923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked BetBoom Team72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2818065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked BetBoom Team62c81.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1456542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4898…a723backed 1win27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63318.2%6 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked BetBoom Team78c79.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4146872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 1win31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked BetBoom Team78c59.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.159051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked BetBoom Team79c59.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5220151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked 1win31c51.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9713452.2%70 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f3…12a9backed 1win24c49.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9311739.3%46 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac45…737abacked 1win33c43.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 1win32c42.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed 1win32c39.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.835948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked 1win33c39.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.926152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…7fb5backed 1win36c29.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.779444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed BetBoom Team71c29.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5530260.3%182 W · 120 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.