Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391fa07b8d68d58ce61d2c847d1abdf040cfa41668f890dec6fe00c48c448b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof 1win, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 26c | 3,155$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.94 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 2,605$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.28 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 2,249$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.27 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 34c | 1,505$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 1,495$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.42 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 35c | 1,270$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.44 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 924.97$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win | 27c | 764.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed 1win | 5c | 753.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 736.05$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.18 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 28c | 640.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 21c | 603.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 27c | 578.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 31c | 479.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 21c | 471.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 443.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 395.91$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 390.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked 1win | 26c | 390.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed 1win | 11c | 338.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed 1win | 35c | 283.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed 1win | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked BetBoom Team | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 29c | 198.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed 1win | 21c | 176.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 151.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked 1win | 35c | 112.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 24c | 101.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed 1win | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 1win | 20c | 98.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 25c | 85.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked 1win | 34c | 79.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 69.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 53.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked 1win | 26c | 51.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 49.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked BetBoom Team | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 29c | 35.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed 1win | 31c | 35.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.