Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f57fecaae5fa058ef374d5c4f1e2be3d9deae29df5e374622386ea4ac82cc50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 1,841$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,732$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.54 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,038$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.56 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 57c | 899.99$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Over | 54c | 741.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 548.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.17 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 349.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 327.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 55c | 192.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 151.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 145.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 133.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 96.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 84.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 48c | 82.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 50c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 76.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 67.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 49c | 63.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 44c | 57.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Under | 48c | 41.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 59c | 41.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 41c | 38.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 45c | 36.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 47c | 35.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 48c | 23.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 55c | 22.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 54c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.