Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x943c45d8323f5eeeeed1eae01a54ec83d5c45a44717a5af2556e2beadccf2451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 290.58$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 271.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 60c | 138$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 114.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 67c | 98.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 86.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 40c | 72.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 58.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 40c | 53.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.