Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebeacd651f7315e33ef0c64a000194b6aabdf5f18037e76a0c6bb2bd2ef35818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 929.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 79c | 440.86$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 210.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 79c | 190.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 135.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 28c | 124.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 57.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 54.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…9af4backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 23c | 44.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 76c | 42.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 32.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 70c | 18.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.