Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc4498e5cfddea73adc1b61d1a599ede9a2ef619f8915be7fa09c0c3b7f5498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 2,303$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.32 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 1,788$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.61 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 29c | 1,019$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.12 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 29c | 849.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 801.98$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.62 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 646.46$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 518$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 509.61$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 56c | 500$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 336.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 29c | 336.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 222.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…6431backed Yes | 76c | 207.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 29c | 187$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 24c | 181.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 166.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 126.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 51c | 118.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 29c | 87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Yes | 24c | 85.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 83.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 22c | 77.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 70c | 74.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 33c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 66.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 42c | 56.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 55.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 51.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 50.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 25c | 50.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 42c | 43.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 42.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 25c | 40.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 72c | 37.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…9f34backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Yes | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 73c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 74c | 14.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.