Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b9ceba5cb55773810cc090a416522aa54762d04893641f981db91dc7fa9307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 56c | 2,953$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.39 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 42c | 2,333$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.86 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 10c | 2,307$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,890$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.64 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 1,297$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.48 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 1,267$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 933.63$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.11 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 55c | 921.03$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.39 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 56c | 867.86$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 828$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 61c | 675.66$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 5c | 625.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 39c | 561.21$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 41c | 555$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 498.62$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 449.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 79c | 416.74$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 327.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 317$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 260.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 52c | 253$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 44c | 253$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 41c | 230.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 47c | 227$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 63c | 212.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 40c | 188.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 181.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…92fbbacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 35c | 178.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 53c | 173.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 41c | 147.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 31c | 126.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 46c | 108.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…6431backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 26c | 98.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 81.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 18c | 79.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 76c | 63.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 22c | 57.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 54.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed No | 43c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…9135backed Yes | 26c | 43.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 73c | 42.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…da52backed No | 79c | 41.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…46b0backed Yes | 52c | 38.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 36.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…9ef2backed No | 79c | 32.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…7185backed No | 79c | 31.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…a255backed No | 79c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 59c | 30.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…e336backed No | 79c | 29.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…5260backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ed…9b0fbacked No | 79c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad55…2054backed No | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…f3f5backed No | 79c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…62a3backed No | 79c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e97…395dbacked No | 79c | 16.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…b5d5backed No | 79c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.