CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d942c5ab8e87735d8cd8e760bbc5f2ace639c907c2db5151b1513776ee73b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof Leo Team, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Leo Team | 0c | 11,225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 50c | 1,601$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Leo Team | 52c | 1,592$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.85 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 50c | 1,328$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.07 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 50c | 1,263$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.19 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked WW Team | 65c | 942.8$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.88 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Leo Team | 61c | 746$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.39 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 42c | 625.1$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed WW Team | 66c | 578.2$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed WW Team | 68c | 452.68$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Leo Team | 33c | 326$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 61c | 197.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed WW Team | 47c | 180.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked Leo Team | 53c | 152.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Leo Team | 59c | 121.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked WW Team | 65c | 99.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked WW Team | 79c | 85.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Leo Team | 24c | 71.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Leo Team | 32c | 66.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Leo Team | 26c | 57.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Leo Team | 36c | 51.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Leo Team | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Leo Team | 73c | 47.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Leo Team | 31c | 47.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…f0edbacked Leo Team | 25c | 43.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Leo Team | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Leo Team | 49c | 41.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leo Team | 34c | 40.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Leo Team | 47c | 34.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…e869backed WW Team | 52c | 33.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…3ce2backed Leo Team | 32c | 31.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked WW Team | 47c | 31.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WW Team | 35c | 30.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed WW Team | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked WW Team | 70c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.