CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c713c70707af8145d3ee0a4d9d4a4e02c6092a96e66f25ee0a403f5be3b6720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof Leo Team, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Leo Team | 1c | 4,936$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WW Team | 56c | 759.66$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Leo Team | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed WW Team | 65c | 341.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 53c | 311.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed WW Team | 63c | 262.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Leo Team | 38c | 249.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 31c | 159.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Leo Team | 32c | 154.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 54c | 125.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed WW Team | 60c | 108.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 40c | 85.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Leo Team | 18c | 83.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 26c | 81.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed Leo Team | 51c | 77.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Leo Team | 52c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked WW Team | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Leo Team | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Leo Team | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed WW Team | 61c | 55.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Leo Team | 31c | 54.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked WW Team | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…7ac7backed Leo Team | 55c | 48.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked WW Team | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Leo Team | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Leo Team | 31c | 38.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed WW Team | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed WW Team | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed WW Team | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed WW Team | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked WW Team | 66c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked WW Team | 60c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Leo Team | 60c | 18.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.