MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d5ec2994064c8fd3326e48a963d65de496a226094c6acef6265684918fe8ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 61c | 22,331$13,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,622.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 66c | 13,297$8,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.59 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 44c | 9,113$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 53c | 8,269$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 58c | 7,802$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 42c | 7,631$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.98 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 12c | 6,965$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 59c | 6,405$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 58c | 4,762$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.95 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Cubs | 62c | 4,260$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 4,238$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.54 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 39c | 3,811$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 63c | 3,610$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Cubs | 23c | 3,453$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 42c | 3,016$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.34 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 76c | 2,078$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.78 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 54c | 2,005$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cardinals | 62c | 1,986$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.69 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 59c | 1,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 47c | 1,630$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.1 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,564$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cubs | 5c | 1,499$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…09fbbacked Cardinals | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 42c | 1,369$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Cubs | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cubs | 60c | 1,005$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cubs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 79c | 969.35$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 41c | 960.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.97 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 41c | 950.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.08 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 60c | 950.85$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.51 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 43c | 937.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.94 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…e6c2backed Cubs | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 7c | 890.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Cubs | 59c | 864.41$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 58c | 829.5$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…8c91backed Cardinals | 42c | 786$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cardinals | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…9655backed Cardinals | 42c | 714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Cubs | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Cubs | 62c | 670.24$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.46 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 41c | 631.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cardinals | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 40c | 537.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…550fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 524$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 41c | 512$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Cubs | 58c | 508$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 34c | 505.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 58c | 503.59$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 46c | 503.01$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Cubs | 58c | 502$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 41c | 499.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…ebf8backed Cardinals | 42c | 486$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 2c | 485.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cubs | 14c | 481$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 441$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cubs | 40c | 428.13$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 39c | 421$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 39c | 418.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.46 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 54c | 405$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…e162backed Cubs | 58c | 397$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…26f9backed Cubs | 58c | 389$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Cubs | 58c | 384.48$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 43c | 373$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 41c | 369.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…21a8backed Cubs | 58c | 369$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 43c | 348$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…c038backed Cubs | 58c | 345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 5c | 329.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Cubs | 44c | 316.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cubs | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 58c | 293.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 39c | 289$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 284.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Cubs | 55c | 272.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Cubs | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 41c | 249.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 40c | 243.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Cardinals | 44c | 243.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 49c | 240.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Cubs | 61c | 222.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Cubs | 19c | 220.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…5dedbacked Cubs | 62c | 219.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Cubs | 59c | 216.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 57c | 204.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.