Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d1cb78af4d5e1e1d1ece2fdd9502204b783e609039311bdd1744242a5190112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 53c | 6,076$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,240$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.7 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 824.19$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 781.17$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 705.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 644.3$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.26 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Over | 55c | 590$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 62c | 504$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 39c | 401.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 46c | 303.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 104.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 75c | 103.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 95.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 75c | 92.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 69c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 65c | 76.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 60.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 49.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Over | 73c | 37.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…358abacked Under | 37c | 34.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…f486backed Under | 37c | 31.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 49c | 30.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 61c | 27.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 73c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Over | 54c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…c03dbacked Over | 65c | 22.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…3516backed Over | 65c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked Over | 65c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…bdffbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 74c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.