Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc00b9177df2be2cc8983b778c84822f84d430a33f6d4740f1befba9ec94bfa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 49c | 1,116$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 32c | 551.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 449.07$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 60c | 400.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed No | 37c | 354.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 272.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 60c | 241.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 217.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 6c | 212.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2a73backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 137.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 51c | 136.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes | 57c | 134.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 74.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 52c | 66.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 55c | 65.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 61c | 53.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 45c | 49.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 46.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 41c | 32.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 29.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.