Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f2770b8c128c830ccd20a07d9990094a12b95737e259c967dc393e7ef58154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 39c | 1,694$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,419$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 788.17$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 66c | 599.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 431.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 402.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 68c | 330$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 59c | 252.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 39c | 213.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 213.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Under | 62c | 208.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 40c | 142.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 52c | 141.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 114.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 39c | 89.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 39c | 77.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 42c | 76.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 54.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Under | 62c | 51.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 49.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 42.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Under | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 33.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 60c | 26.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Under | 62c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Under | 60c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.