Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb1c06f682a177114d7bdbd22a3c71d7a3fa83d3ad77cdb0d11951c96083a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 31c | 255,240$78,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,387.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 102,322$71,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,025.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 69c | 64,493$44,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,992.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 69c | 40,300$27,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,499 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 69c | 19,997$13,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.13 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 1,048$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,008$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 70c | 777$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 70c | 762.86$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.86 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 70c | 713.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 29c | 700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 71c | 690$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 69c | 457.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 29c | 404$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 32c | 400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 70c | 357.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 19c | 343.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 197$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…489ebacked Yes | 70c | 186.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 29c | 156.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 29c | 152.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 70c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 71c | 141.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 60c | 140.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 72c | 139.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…fc6fbacked Yes | 71c | 104.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 101.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…3ce9backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…0b71backed Yes | 72c | 66.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 29c | 48.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 30c | 45.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…1dbdbacked Yes | 72c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…7dd1backed Yes | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…8b66backed Yes | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 72c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Atalanta vs. Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.