Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9912e03ea53c42e134c782bf1ef9f48d6be2a60470d5923f9bcd22cfb114f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 4,167$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 2,992$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.5 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 723.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 51c | 462.8$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 408.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 20c | 326.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 55c | 282.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 245$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…4758backed Over | 80c | 242.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 197.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 197.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 79c | 189.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 21c | 177$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 57c | 174.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 80c | 166.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Under | 25c | 132.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 71c | 92.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 59.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…f6debacked Over | 79c | 50.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 45.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 78c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 38.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Over | 79c | 33.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…253dbacked Over | 78c | 26.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 77c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 80c | 12.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…bb07backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.