La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e890229bb78ed2179ef3b5debb0012841845a29444bad5a6d502734b3087a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 37c | 2,522$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.71 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 62c | 2,080$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 63c | 1,997$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.04 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 38c | 1,233$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 62c | 647.42$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 64c | 550$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 62c | 506$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 61c | 505.8$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 38c | 430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 42c | 346.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 60c | 285.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yes | 61c | 258.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…20a1backed Yes | 31c | 217.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 214.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 39c | 166.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 63c | 126$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 125.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 97.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…0526backed Yes | 74c | 96.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 57c | 85.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 40c | 84.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 62c | 75.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…2227backed Yes | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 59c | 57.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf09…9bb6backed Yes | 76c | 52.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 43c | 48.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…414cbacked Yes | 60c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…9908backed Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 61c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Yes | 61c | 23.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3148…9ba5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.