La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf726ca496d920bde5f7a24281215ed4e0d0b2e8f7db9a6dfc1523b57cb1fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 16c | 4,393$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.29 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 17c | 1,603$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.52 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 14c | 539.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…fa0dbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 299.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…9908backed Yes | 16c | 206.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 15c | 177.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…079dbacked Yes | 9c | 143.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 14c | 116.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.