TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Rays, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rays45c8,285$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.5636047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Giants61c6,562$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00033554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays48c6,247$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.941,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Giants60c5,830$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.26450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants40c4,601$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Giants51c4,199$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.4916352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Giants50c4,016$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rays42c3,815$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.3154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Rays45c3,076$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.46845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rays49c2,978$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.7538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Rays48c2,800$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4565743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Giants72c2,712$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.3815644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays41c2,695$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.3195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Rays28c2,596$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.39447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Giants47c2,510$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.6138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Giants52c1,915$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.591,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Giants54c1,836$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Giants52c1,529$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.0214444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays47c1,502$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.1388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants53c1,465$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.642,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Giants38c1,341$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.195834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…7a36backed Rays45c1,211$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Giants59c1,185$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.5743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8156…6b4dbacked Rays47c1,115$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Giants53c1,111$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa8…018bbacked Giants53c1,089$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…aacdbacked Rays47c1,085$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0c…361cbacked Rays47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Rays48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6713553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants49c1,004$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.991,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Giants55c1,000$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4334550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Rays30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants52c962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c47…45b6backed Giants53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd06…73a2backed Rays47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Giants74c667.46$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.2723248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Giants76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Rays52c597$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5321246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rays46c547.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.771,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…3ffbbacked Giants53c547$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants31c546.71$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.122,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Giants55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb746…08afbacked Giants53c517$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays73c508$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.926,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Giants51c497.57$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7619449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Giants52c475.08$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24613151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays54c461.4$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.894,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Giants53c453$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.099947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rays52c438.22$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5331244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants53c430$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.91,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rays47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Rays27c378.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0430928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants44c356.43$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rays58c320.79$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.982,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Rays47c315.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8121748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Rays50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rays47c309.57$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.071,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rays47c308.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3316651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays48c301.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1571,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rays46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18342452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…66a1backed Rays47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rays46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Giants52c297.22$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0411331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rays47c288.09$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6911051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef0…1282backed Giants54c283.02$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.831752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rays30c280.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.371,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Giants62c274.29$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants75c266.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Giants75c263.15$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.519356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc1…201bbacked Rays47c257.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.263043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants57c252.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6770841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86d…7d43backed Rays46c246.06$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.913348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Giants74c243$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.822450%12 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Giants52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Giants54c230.21$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3215944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Rays46c217.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.712347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad26…981dbacked Rays47c216.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.562846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants40c202.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1173149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rays46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Rays45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11018249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a5…3120backed Giants54c197.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97cf…1e51backed Giants54c195.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.482548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Giants41c193.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Giants19c188$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5716947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb219…9f58backed Giants54c187.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.043262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Giants54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…b532backed Giants55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-51.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rays47c181.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rays34c181.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8732754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Giants56c177.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Giants51c168.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8632832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rays20c163.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8731547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rays23c157.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.991,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…f2b7backed Giants54c156.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.043151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked Rays38c151.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.