Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4a48d55cd10a082798c3c7d2e3b00a5395e736bc03651560ee38a1cd4bbe6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 73c | 2,744$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.84 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,024$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 2,005$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 1,869$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,415$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 1,183$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.62 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 904.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 72c | 486.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 49c | 439.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 242.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 72c | 174$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 28c | 171.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 157.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 44c | 124.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 71c | 105.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 80.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 72c | 43.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 73c | 30.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 68c | 26.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Over | 70c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 70c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Over | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-2.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-2.5)Preston North End FC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.