Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1186cf3426f44aa9e3e2c836ff7cfcb49ecfa5f8a7139c300f92b05456f85608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 52c | 4,219$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.79 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 4,010$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.6 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 54c | 3,522$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.16 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 57c | 2,756$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.55 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 2,023$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.46 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.24 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 1,501$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.46 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 971.61$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.67 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 930.43$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 868.1$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.65 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 55c | 410.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Under | 64c | 382.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 55c | 351.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 155.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 114.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…ca1bbacked Over | 47c | 96.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 74.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 56c | 66.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 58.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 56.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 45c | 37.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 45c | 36.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 54c | 27.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 221 | 56.1%124 W · 97 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 62c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-2.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-2.5)Preston North End FC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.