Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5a6e8730708a387dd0b13943d3e8900e34f35fa9c449be794c4d3a71f6ee30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 1,306$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.47 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 38c | 1,201$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.45 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 62c | 1,201$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 40c | 1,093$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 60c | 730.04$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 310.27$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 38c | 262.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 63c | 183.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…8520backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 81.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 37c | 63.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 37c | 61.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 38c | 34.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 37c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d18…f473backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-08-28?this page
- Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-28?No won
- Will Samsunspor vs. Panathinaikos end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.