Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939d498d709a83944817cf5824c0019840689e120a0927e4dac4f0881c77e54a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 48c | 49,300$23,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,672.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 26,115$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,860.4 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 17,134$8,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,090.97 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 1c | 15,898$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 47c | 12,208$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 0c | 11,240$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 9,466$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.48 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 9,397$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.29 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 57c | 6,400$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 43c | 6,082$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.82 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 73c | 3,485$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.01 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 2,997$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 2,720$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.25 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 2,528$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.65 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 17c | 1,897$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.48 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 51c | 1,763$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 55c | 1,291$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 1,259$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.32 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed Yes | 70c | 1,071$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked No | 55c | 1,017$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 23c | 996.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 47c | 947.5$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 866.62$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…f3f6backed Yes | 47c | 854.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 810.19$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 602.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 53c | 566.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 47c | 555$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 56c | 435.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 75c | 410.61$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 407.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.61 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 385.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 307.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 305.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 4c | 299.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 50c | 290.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 29c | 263$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 45c | 227.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…d4d9backed Yes | 45c | 227.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 74c | 222.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 53c | 213.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 201.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 45c | 199.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 193.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 16c | 181.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 49c | 173.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 47c | 155.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 48c | 142.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 48c | 125.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed No | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 109.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 106.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…7707backed Yes | 45c | 105.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 94.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed No | 34c | 88.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 52c | 87.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…d06abacked Yes | 54c | 78.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 76.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 34c | 73.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 68c | 71.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 60.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 17c | 59.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Yes | 46c | 59.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 45c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 55c | 53.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 64c | 48.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 57c | 48.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 26c | 47.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 51c | 45.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…02babacked No | 47c | 41.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.