Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b7f07a0dfe0ec692c3c38514571c2e120546475c4fa12b969c39cd3d8fe7c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 76c | 8,507$6,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 4,025$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.11 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 2,880$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 2,040$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.08 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 77c | 1,975$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,224$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 1,095$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 840.68$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 780$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 29c | 693.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 556.45$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 25c | 502$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 33c | 493.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 452.2$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 31c | 416.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 340.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 6c | 335.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…dce1backed Yes | 28c | 186.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Yes | 25c | 113.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 20c | 98.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 78c | 96.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 73.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 33c | 56.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 31c | 45.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 27c | 44.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 40.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 32c | 38.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 76c | 24.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 68c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.