La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4741fd6866560215557f767603aef60c098c734fc38707c062a80bb33ec4bdee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 33c | 4,545$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 51c | 3,884$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 2,815$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.87 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 52c | 1,305$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 1,077$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.1 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 51c | 652.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 634.49$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 578.75$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.05 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 59c | 508.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 4c | 505.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 49c | 408.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed No | 19c | 364.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 12c | 310$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes | 49c | 287.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 50c | 257$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes | 42c | 246.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 201$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…8effbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 51c | 134.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 51c | 124.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 122$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…3f34backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 50c | 85.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 50c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 50c | 59.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 285 | 43.2%123 W · 162 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 51c | 35.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…f067backed No | 44c | 33.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Yes | 52c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…5aa2backed Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Getafe vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.