Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ebf7dbc097184ed0a90c5261ade1ac3519774eb5d71a098e1e69b7c87b38604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 41c | 431,573$176,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,933.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,000 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 59c | 92,353$54,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,890.99 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 59c | 90,000$53,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,900 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 59c | 67,382$39,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,547.88 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 45c | 33,343$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,343.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 59c | 10,069$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 43c | 1,997$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.59 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,473$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.76 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.98 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 49c | 1,365$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 18c | 1,003$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes | 59c | 942.36$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 55c | 901.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 55c | 693.09$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 41c | 650$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 47c | 637.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 66c | 437.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 56c | 339.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 59c | 318$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 245.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 56c | 162.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 56c | 138.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 129.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…5d9fbacked Yes | 78c | 127.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 58c | 110.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 42c | 101.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…967bbacked Yes | 61c | 85.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 57c | 83.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 47c | 76.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 41c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0387…d134backed No | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 71c | 35.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 62c | 32.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…a86fbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…b4a8backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-27?this page
- Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-27?No won
- Will FC Kopenhagen vs. FC Basel end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.