Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5126f7a1761fa2dd5846e9824e4396433ed13a72faa22fc4fbd2ca8dd62076d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,292$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 59c | 1,641$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.15 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 59c | 1,630$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,031$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 51c | 921$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.71 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 39c | 815$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 61c | 435$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.35 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 61c | 295.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 273.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 62c | 255.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 49c | 202.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 37c | 178.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 63c | 112.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 38c | 58.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 37c | 49.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…8e01backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 38.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-21?this page
- Will Panathinaikos vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.