Europa Conference League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3264ec53d782743d24225912fea8ed44278959d629c6680b74ca186e9fa4d73a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 4,545$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 76c | 3,400$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 1,805$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 17c | 1,152$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 24c | 484$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 353.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 15c | 345.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Over | 76c | 330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 75c | 162$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 143.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 12c | 121.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 72c | 104.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Under | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 75c | 66.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…eaf6backed Under | 27c | 53.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…8563backed Under | 27c | 52.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…0a22backed Under | 27c | 51.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…35ccbacked Under | 27c | 50.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…0a9cbacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…d79fbacked Over | 75c | 49.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 75c | 44.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 74c | 39.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 75c | 39.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…d049backed Under | 27c | 38.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Over | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…26c8backed Over | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…5187backed Over | 76c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…a032backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…22bfbacked Over | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…8749backed Over | 76c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…3cc1backed Over | 75c | 18.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…2262backed Over | 75c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…ad25backed Over | 75c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…6f90backed Over | 75c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…cf8bbacked Over | 75c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…f116backed Over | 75c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…9401backed Over | 75c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…06f8backed Over | 75c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed Over | 75c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…8516backed Over | 75c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…6a23backed Over | 75c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…76afbacked Over | 75c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…eda8backed Over | 75c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…925fbacked Over | 75c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2818backed Over | 75c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…80f6backed Over | 75c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…f77bbacked Over | 75c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)KRC Genk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.